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Acol at BBO


Before we look at a couple of hands here’s a little test paper.
In each of the three questions you’re defending a no-trump contract and have to find a discard from the holdings shown. To make it a little harder, you’re given no clues about the contract, bidding, dummy or the play so far.
You have ten seconds to complete the test.
Here we go… ten seconds, no more … What do you discard in each of the three cases below?

a)
Spades A52
Hearts Q63
b) Spades Q52
Hearts 764
c) Spades J1052
Hearts J10763

Time to check your answers.
Of course, given the paucity of clues, it’s possible to make a case for any of the cards. Which means none of your answers can be called right or wrong! So mark yourself ten out of ten.
Generally speaking though, players discard the card that is least likely to concede a trick.

a)
Spades A52
Hearts Q63
Here most will discard a spade to protect the heart queen.
b) Spades Q52
Hearts 764
Most will throw a small heart.
c) Spades J1052
Hearts J10763
As a rule it’s better to discard from your longest suits. So here a heart will be discarded.

Since we instinctively play this way, what’s the point of the test, I hear you ask?
Well, let’s switch with the declarer and take the driver’s seat.
The best bridge tip I've ever come across was in an article by the late and great Rixi Marcus. In it she said (though I suspect she put it better), “If a defender’s first discard is made with little thought, it will usually be from a five card or longer holding.



Time to watch Salome play a couple of hands and see how she makes use of these clues.

Nerdy Neville
Spades  K 8 6 5
Hearts  J 5 2
Diamonds  7 5
Clubs  
Q J 8 4
Whacky Wilma
Spades ---
Hearts ---
Diamonds ---
Clubs ---
Esoteric Eliza
Spades ---
Hearts ---
Diamonds ---
Clubs ---
Salome the Seer
Spades  4 2
Hearts  K 6 4
Diamonds  A K J 6
Clubs  A K 5 2

The contract is two no-trump after a 1D, 1S, 2NT bidding sequence. 
Wilma leads a club which Salome won in dummy.  At trick two she led a diamond to the jack which held.
Next she led a club to dummy and east “readily” discarded a diamond. On the third club Eliza threw a second diamond.
But on the fourth she thought for a second before throwing a spade.
Salome asked herself this question, “would east discard diamonds from a four card suit to the queen after I’d opened the bidding with one diamond?”-  Obviously not. So when she led a diamond to the king, she wasn’t surprised to see Wilma discard a spade.

This is the position with declarer needing two more tricks.

Nerdy Neville
Spades  K 8 6 5
Hearts  J 5 2
Diamonds  
---
Clubs  ---
Whacky Wilma
Spades ---
Hearts ---
Diamonds ---
Clubs ---
Esoteric Eliza
Spades ---
Hearts ---
Diamonds ---
Clubs ---
Salome the Seer
Spades  4 2
Hearts  K 6 4
Diamonds  A 6
Clubs  
---

Let’s step into the mind of Salome and see how she played.
What do I know? Well, Eliza started with a singleton club and six diamonds, and she has two diamonds left.  Also, I recall, when she had to find a discard on the last club, she chose a spade. I wonder if Eliza’s reluctance to discard a heart suggests she is trying to protect the queen.
If I’m correct, she had to find a discard from a holding such as this …
Spades A - -
Hearts Q - -
In bridge, as in life, there’re no guarantees, but the most promising line looks to be to cash the last diamond, then throw east in with the six.
A spade from Eliza will ensure the king takes a trick, and a heart from her “presumed” queen will promote a trick in the suit. Making it a case of heads we will, tails they lose.

Here’s the full hand.

Nerdy Neville
Spades  K 8 6 5
Hearts  J 5 2
Diamonds  7 5
Clubs  
Q J 8 4
Whacky Wilma
Spades  Q J 7 3
Hearts  A 9 8 7
Diamonds  9
Clubs  10 9 7 3
Esoteric Eliza
Spades  A 10 9
Hearts  Q 10 3
Diamonds  Q 10 8 4 3 2
Clubs  6
Salome the Seer
Spades  4 2
Hearts  K 6 4
Diamonds  A K J 6
Clubs  A K 5 2



A second example – North opens 1D, South bids 1NT which is passed out.

Nerdy Neville
Spades  A K J 2
Hearts  4 2
Diamonds  K 9 5 3 2
Clubs 
J 2
Whacky Wilma
Spades ---
Hearts ---
Diamonds ---
Clubs ---
Esoteric Eliza
Spades ---
Hearts ---
Diamonds ---
Clubs ---
Salome the Seer
Spades  6 5 4
Hearts  10 9 5
Diamonds  8 7
Clubs  A K 10 6 3

Wilma cashed the KQJ of hearts and leds a fourth to Eliza’s ace.
Eliza returned a club which Wilma won with the queen and continued the suit. South overtook the jack of clubs and East/West followed to a third round of the suit leaving these cards to be played.

Nerdy Neville
Spades  A K J
Hearts  ---
Diamonds  K 9 5
Clubs 
---
Whacky Wilma
Spades ---
Hearts ---
Diamonds ---
Clubs ---
Esoteric Eliza
Spades ---
Hearts ---
Diamonds ---
Clubs ---
Salome the Seer
Spades  5 4
Hearts  ---
Diamonds  8 7
Clubs  10 6

Salome has won two tricks, she has two club winners to come and two spade winners in dummy. The seventh can come from one of four lines …

1. A successful spade finesse.
2. Dropping the spade queen offside if Eliza started with Qx.
3. Lead a diamond towards the king – making if Wilma has the ace.
4. Lastly, if Eliza holds both the spade queen and diamond ace, she can be subjected to a “strip squeeze”.  Dummy comes down to three spades and the diamond king. East must keep three spades and the ace. When declarer plays a diamond and east wins she’ll be forced to lead a spade away from her queen.

On the ten of clubs, west, dummy and east discarded diamonds. As neither opponent had thrown a spade – Salome decided playing for the Qx offside offered a slim chance and so rejected that line.
On the final club west discarded a spade and declarer had reached the Rubicon. Should she throw a diamond and try the spade finesse or endplay, or discard a spade and lead towards the diamond king?
Again, let’s follow Salome’s reasoning.
“Would an average player throw a spade from Qxx while looking at the AKJ in dummy?” It’s possible, but I think, more often than not, they would want to keep two spades with the queen.
This means I have to play for the funny squeeze or lead towards the diamond king.

If the squeeze is working Wilma will discard a diamond on the first club from one of these holdings.

Spades  xxx
Hearts  -
Diamonds  Qxx
Clubs  -
or Spades  xxx
Hearts  -
Diamonds  Jxx
Clubs  -

With these cards the average player will prefer to discard a spade in order to retain the diamonds. So the squeeze is probably failing and I should discard a spade and lead a diamond towards king.
Naturally Salome’s analysis correct and she made her contract.
Here’s the full hand…

Nerdy Neville
Spades  A K J 2
Hearts  4 2
Diamonds 
K 9 5 3 2
Clubs  J 2-
Whacky Wilma
Spades 10 8 3
Hearts K Q J 3
Diamonds A 10 6
Clubs Q 9 7
Esoteric Eliza
Spades Q 9 7
Hearts A 8 7 6
Diamonds Q J 4
Clubs 8 5 4
Salome the Seer
Spades  6 5 4
Hearts  10 9 5
Diamonds  8 7
Clubs  A K 10 6 3

In conclusion:–
Practice this technique and, like Salome, you’ll be able to “see” your opponents’ cards by noting when they struggle to find a discard. And after they’ve thrown a card, picture the holdings that might have influenced their choice.
Ask yourself if they would have made that discard holding a particular honour card, and don’t forget - players will generally throw cards from their longest suits first.